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Spotting Winners: Dine Brands (NYSE:DIN) And Sit-Down Dining Stocks In Q1

DIN Cover Image

The end of an earnings season can be a great time to discover new stocks and assess how companies are handling the current business environment. Let’s take a look at how Dine Brands (NYSE:DIN) and the rest of the sit-down dining stocks fared in Q1.

Sit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.

The 11 sit-down dining stocks we track reported a mixed Q1. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 0.7% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 2.3% below.

Luckily, sit-down dining stocks have performed well with share prices up 10.4% on average since the latest earnings results.

Dine Brands (NYSE:DIN)

Operating a franchise model, Dine Brands (NYSE:DIN) is a casual restaurant chain that owns the Applebee’s and IHOP banners.

Dine Brands reported revenues of $214.8 million, up 4.1% year on year. This print was in line with analysts’ expectations, but overall, it was a slower quarter for the company with a miss of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates.

"As we navigate the current operating environment, the fundamentals of our business remain strong, and since the second half of the quarter, we’re seeing steady improvement across sales, traffic, and our development pipeline," said John Peyton, Chief Executive Officer of Dine Brands Global

Dine Brands Total Revenue

Interestingly, the stock is up 15.5% since reporting and currently trades at $23.11.

Read our full report on Dine Brands here, it’s free.

Best Q1: Brinker International (NYSE:EAT)

Founded by Norman Brinker in Dallas, Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) is a casual restaurant chain that operates the Chili’s, Maggiano’s Little Italy, and It’s Just Wings banners.

Brinker International reported revenues of $1.43 billion, up 27.2% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 2.6%. The business had an exceptional quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ same-store sales estimates.

Brinker International Total Revenue

Brinker International scored the highest full-year guidance raise among its peers. Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 3.8% since reporting. It currently trades at $154.59.

Is now the time to buy Brinker International? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q1: First Watch (NASDAQ:FWRG)

Based on a nautical reference to the first work shift aboard a ship, First Watch (NASDAQ:FWRG) is a chain of breakfast and brunch restaurants whose menu is heavily-focused on eggs and griddle items such as pancakes.

First Watch reported revenues of $282.2 million, up 16.4% year on year, in line with analysts’ expectations. It was a softer quarter as it posted full-year EBITDA guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

As expected, the stock is down 16.2% since the results and currently trades at $15.58.

Read our full analysis of First Watch’s results here.

BJ's (NASDAQ:BJRI)

Founded in 1978 in California, BJ’s Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) is a chain of restaurants whose menu features classic American dishes, often with a twist.

BJ's reported revenues of $348 million, up 3.2% year on year. This number was in line with analysts’ expectations. Overall, it was a very strong quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is up 24.8% since reporting and currently trades at $41.79.

Read our full, actionable report on BJ's here, it’s free.

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE)

Celebrated for its delicious (and free) brown bread, gigantic portions, and delectable desserts, Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) is an iconic American restaurant chain that also owns and operates a portfolio of separate restaurant brands.

The Cheesecake Factory reported revenues of $927.2 million, up 4% year on year. This print met analysts’ expectations. It was a strong quarter as it also put up an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a decent beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

The stock is up 2.1% since reporting and currently trades at $51.55.

Read our full, actionable report on The Cheesecake Factory here, it’s free.

Market Update

The Fed’s interest rate hikes throughout 2022 and 2023 have successfully cooled post-pandemic inflation, bringing it closer to the 2% target. Inflationary pressures have eased without tipping the economy into a recession, suggesting a soft landing. This stability, paired with recent rate cuts (0.5% in September 2024 and 0.25% in November 2024), fueled a strong year for the stock market in 2024. The markets surged further after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, with major indices reaching record highs in the days following the election. Still, questions remain about the direction of economic policy, as potential tariffs and corporate tax changes add uncertainty for 2025.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Hidden Gem Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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